Palestinians in Lebanon: Towards Integration or Conflict?
Source: webposted 14 May 2000.
by Simon Haddad
Background
The
Palestinian Community in Lebanon
Lebanese
Statements on Resettlement
Analysis
of the Findings
Attitudes
Toward Residential Integration
Attitudes
Toward Integrated Education
Intermarriage
With Palestinians
Views
on Naturalization
Position
on Palestinian Civic Rights
Awareness
of the issue of Palestinian resettlement in Lebanon
Projection
of the Nature of Damaging Repercussions of Palestinian Resettlement
Expected Course of Action Against
an Imposed Settlement
Expected
Political Impact of Resettlement
Proposed
Resumption of the Civil War as a Result of Resettlement
Conclusion
and Implications of the Study
References
Background
On the 18th of April 1948 began the Palestinian Refugee
Crisis, when several thousands of Palestinians fled their homes and
poured into neighboring Arab countries. As Israeli historian Benny
Morris noted, along with the establishment of the state of Israel,
the refugee problem was the major political consequence of the 1948
war, and became one of the intractable components of the Arab-Israeli
conflict.( 1 )
In the early years after the creation of the state of
Israel many Palestinians hoped that the international community would
come to their rescue and restore their national and natural rights.
Their only hope was that Arab states would resolve the problem whether
by force or diplomacy. However, the most they were offered were a variety
of resettlements schemes that they fiercely rejected, preferring to
remain refugees than to give up all claim to their land.( 2 )
The most important piece of international legislation on Palestinian
refugees is undoubtedly UN resolution 194 (III) of 11 December 1948,
the essence of which is to guarantee Palestinian right to return home
and to demand compensation.( 3 ) However,
since this resolution could not be implemented, UN focus shifted to
the humanitarian dimension in an attempt to improve the conditions
of Palestinian refugees in the host countries. For this purpose, the
United Nations Relief and Works Agency was created to assist Palestinian
Refugees in the fields of education, work, healthcare and relief.
By the mid-1960's, it was evident that it had little
chance of success as it attempted to solve a political problem using
an economic approach. The Arab states were not prepared to cooperate
on the large-scale development projects originally foreseen by the
Agency as a means of alleviating the Palestinians' situation. In 1949,
at the UN Palestine Conciliation Commission at Luanne, Israel offered
to repatriate 100,000 Arab refugees within the framework of a general
settlement. The Arab delegations rejected the offer. In 1952, the UN
Refugee Rehabilitation Fund offered the Arab states 200 million USD
to find "homes and jobs for the refugees. The Arab states used some
of the money for relief work, but did not even apply for the greatest
part of the fund. The Arab governments were unwilling to contribute
to any plan that could be interpreted as encouraging resettlement.( 4 ) They
preferred to hang to their own interpretation of Resolution 194, which
they believed would eventually lead to repatriation. Palestinians'
only other hope was that the Arab states would resolve the problem,
whether by force or diplomacy.
In the prevailing climate of Arab nationalism of the
1950's and 1960's, many Palestinians still believed in the Arab Nationalist
ideal and saw the restoration of their homeland-taking place within
the broader framework of the unification of the Arab world, chiefly
under the leadership of Egypt's President Nasser. The latter had pledged
himself to sweep all traces of Zionism, Imperialism and the forces
of reaction in the Arab world:( 5 )
"The refugees will not return while the flag of Israel
flies over the soil of Palestine. They will return when the flag of
Palestine is hoisted over Arab Palestine." (Radio Cairo, 19 July 1957)
The Arab States and the Palestinians have traditionally
demanded that the refugees be repatriated. The official Israeli position
on the other hand, has always been, that there can be no returning
of the refugees to Israeli territories, and that the only solution
to the problem was their resettlement in the Arab states or elsewhere.( 6 )
After the 1967 defeat of the front line Arab regimes,
the Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO) took advantage of the outcome
of the war to assert an increasing political and military role. The
1967 defeat of the front line Arab regimes had, among others, two major
implications for the Palestinians: first, approximately 360,000 Palestinians
were forced to leave the West Bank and Gaza Strip for Jordan, Syria,
Lebanon and Egypt. Second, the Palestinian Liberation Organization
(PLO) took advantage of the outcome of the war to assert an increasing
political and military role.
In September 1970, the Jordanian government launched
an attack known as the Black September against refugee camps in response
to Palestinian military activities in Jordan. The result was the relocation
of the PLO power base to Lebanon.
The PLO's strong political and military presence in Lebanon
during the 1970's often referred to as "Palestinian state within a
state" came at the expense of large segments of the Lebanese population.
With PLO power nearly broken after the Israeli invasion of Lebanon
in 1982, the refugee camps were left without any protection. While
the Israeli military campaign succeeded in crushing the PLO in Lebanon,
it failed to eliminate Palestinian presence. However, Palestinian social
and economic situation in Lebanon continued to deteriorate until the
present day.
More than a decade after the Gulf War, the position of
the Palestinians is worse than ever. The PLO's rash support for Iraq
weakened its position. This justified Kuwaiti reprisal against Palestinians
with the Palestinian community in Kuwait shrinking from 400,000 in
1990 to some 100,000 in August 1991.( 7 )
The PLO became substantially weaker and isolated in the
Arab world. Thus, they were forced to negotiate with Israel culminating
with the Oslo Declaration of principles. While Palestinians welcomed
the attainment of self-rule and the prospect of a state, the refugees
in Lebanon had little reason for rejoicing. In fact, the accords did
not mention the 1948 refugees who constituted the majority of Palestinians
in Lebanon. The question of the refugees was addressed in two ways;
the first through a multilateral working group under Canadian supervision.
The second approach to the issue was to include it as an item on the
agenda of the "final status" negotiations.
By excluding the refugees, the Oslo Accords revived the
issue of resettlement and increased prospects that resettlement would
be imposed as a solution by force. The Oslo Accords therefore stirred
fear and concern among Lebanese. Resettlement scenarios presented by
local and international forces increased these fears and further complicated
the situation. The perception behind resettlement schemes is that no
final Israeli-Palestinian settlement is possible without a solution
to the problem of Palestinian refugees.( 8 ) On
the other hand, the Canadian government is also suspected to be carrying behind
the scenes plans for resettling Palestinian refugees in Lebanon
and namely in the Quraï region and in other parts. Preparations
to meet this objectives are said to be taking place under the auspices
of the Refugee Working Group presided by Canada. Lebanese officials
and various parties have expressed their categorical rejection of "implantation" or twain .
Some reject resettlement based on their position of solidarity and
concern for Palestinian national rights. Others base the rejection
on hostility to Palestinians. A third group is concerned with the disruptive
impact of resettlement on Lebanese society.
The objective of this study is to examine the views of
Lebanese respondents with regard to the issue of
resettling Palestinian Refugees in Lebanon. In connection with this,
the study will explore respondents' views on the following variables
related to resettlement: first, the intensity of awareness on the issue
of Palestinian Resettlement in Lebanon; second, expected position on
the optimal political alternative as a result of its imposition; third,
expected course of action opposing its imposition; fourth, the likelihood
of the resumption of the civil war as a direct repercussion of resettlement.
The author proposes that the respondents are well aware of the issue
of resettlement, perceive its political impact negatively, oppose its
imposition, and they expect the resumption of the civil war as a result
of its imposition. They are likely to reject the Tail arrangement and
support an alternative form of government.
The Palestinian Community in Lebanon
Socio-economic Situation
There are no definitive figures concerning the number
of Palestinians in Lebanon today. Different sources suggest that the
actual size of the Palestinian community in Lebanon ranges between
200 and 400 thousand. Without a census and with the lack of comprehensive
survey, political interests and motives play a part in the debate over
accurate figures.( 9 )
Since their arrival in Lebanon nearly 50 years ago, the
experience of Palestinian refugees was one of marginalization, suffering,
repression and armed violence. They were considered a threat to the
Lebanese people and were treated as second-class citizens. Unlike Palestinian
refugees elsewhere, Palestinians in Lebanon have been denied basic
social and economic rights for a substantial portion of their 52 years
in exile. The Palestinians were kept apart from the Lebanese population,
not allowed to assimilate even if they wanted to.
Until the late 1960's, the Lebanese government had at
no point in time enacted any legislation governing or guaranteeing
Palestinian civil rights. Palestinian refugees were treated the same
as foreigners. Travel restrictions were tight, passports rarely given,
and the only documents issued by the government were only temporary.
Only a small fraction has been able to acquire Lebanese
citizenship. The greatest majority remains stateless; they were treated
as foreigners, they have rights of property ownership, investment and
employment by permit. Obtaining a work permit remains a complex and
lengthy process that offers neither social security nor insurance benefits
nor a regular wage increase, and becomes invalid when its holder is
laid off the job. Moreover, employment in large institutions is largely
closed to Palestinians because it is governed by sectarian rules.( 10 ) Palestinians,
however continue to be excluded from more than 72 professions. These
restrictions force them to work in the informal sector with low wages,
insecurity and no benefits.
With regard to education, Palestinians are excluded from
Lebanese governmental educational institutions for higher education.
Further, Palestinians are also finding it impossible to enter the government
secondary schools.
Restrictions on building and reconstruction in the camps
contribute to the insecurity of Palestinians in Lebanon. They continue
to live in indecent, semi-destroyed and unfurnished buildings. Rebuilding
in the camps has been strictly and legally controlled, with severe
overcrowding as a result. Today, between 150,000 and 200,000 Palestinian
refugees live in 12 registered refugee camps that are prepared to accommodate
50,000 refugees.( 11 )
The Lebanese state reluctance to absorb the refugees has led to the
perpetuation of the refugee camps set in 1948 and 1967.
Political and Military Role
Initially impoverished, fragmented, dispirited, and without
adequate leadership to address their concerns, the Palestinian refugee
community was quiescent until the mid-1960's. Lebanese political leadership
refusal to commit its troops to the June 1967 war enraged many Lebanese
Muslims and Syria. In the aftermath of the war, Palestinian guerrillas
infiltration from Syria to wage commando raids against Israeli borders
prompted severe retaliation. On the other hand, Lebanese army attempts
to regulate the Palestinian armed movement in the country was widely
opposed by the Muslim and leftist leadership. In November 1969, following
a series of clashes between Palestinians and the Lebanese army, the
Lebanese government was compelled under internal and external pressures
to conclude the Cairo Agreement. The immediate effects of this Accord
were to set free the hands of the PLO militarily and to acknowledge
many important social rights for the Palestinians such as the right
to employment. The PLO assumed the responsibility of managing the affairs
of the Palestinian community in the country.
Meanwhile, the PLO was evicted from Jordan, and had their
leadership and guerillas main base relocated to Lebanon, where the
Cairo Agreement endorsed their presence. The influx of several hundred
thousand Palestinians upset Lebanon's delicate confessional balance,
and polarized the country into two camps: proponents and opponents
of the PLO presence.
Public order deteriorated with daily acts of violence
between Christians who opposed Palestinian presence and Palestinians.
The military intervention of the Lebanese army bombarding refugee camps
prompted the Mel kart Agreement. Under the provisions of this document
the Palestinians had been accorded a greater degree of autonomy than
some Lebanese citizens. Inspired by this precedence, Lebanese Muslims
organized under the leadership of Kamala Jumbled encouraged by the
Palestinian tried to wrest similar concession from the central government.
This period of autonomy was brought to an end with the
1982 Israeli invasion that forced the PLO to leave Beirut. The Palestinians
in the camps were left as a result at the mercy of Lebanese militias.
The only change was that of the common opinion which looked at the
Palestinians as responsible for the outbreak of the civil war. Right
wing Lebanese Forces militiamen were quick to seize the opportunity.
With the supervision of the Israeli Army they massacred 2,000 Palestinians
in Sara and Sheila camps.( 12 )
However, these incidents did not prevent the resurgence
of Palestinian political and military presence in 1984, threatening
this time the powerful position the Shies and Amal had established
for themselves in post 1982 Lebanon. Originally hostile to PLO operations
in 1970's, Amal was encouraged by Syria to turn its attention to the
Palestinians in the camps of Sara, Sheila, and Bur Al-Baronet. They
suspected an Israeli-US plot being implemented by Gasser Arafat to
restore the anomalous state of affairs that previously existed prior
to 1982. Heavy fighting erupted between the two parties in 1985 which
was labeled the "wars of the camps." The clashes resulting in heavy
casualties were brought to an end with the deployment of Syrian troops
in Beirut. Nevertheless, the Palestinians managed to maintain control
over the camps.
In July 1991, Lebanese Army units clashed with Palestinians
in Southern Lebanon camps of Rawhide and Mieh-Mieh. The troops were
executing a government order to disband Palestinian Pro-Arafat militias.
Over 60 people were killed, 150 were wounded and 450 Palestinians were
taken prisoners. The PLO accepted to hand over their heavy weapons
in exchange for the army stopping the surrounding of the camps and
allowing for a "serious political dialogue" concerning Palestinian
civil rights, but not political ones.( 13 )
In 1994, the mass granting of citizenship to some 400,000
people by the Lebanese government served to renew the internal debate
concerning the Palestinian refugees. Opponents argue that it did not
fit nationality requirement and that there were many undeserving cases.
Among the accusations, is that Lebanese citizenship was granted to
25,000 Palestinians and possibly to a larger number. They also maintained
that it tipped the country's sectarian balance with the clear complications
that political structures based on equality are being lined up for
review and alteration to the disadvantage of Christian groups and to
the Maronites in particular. In connection with the naturalization
decree, official attempts at correcting the confessional balance with
the naturalization of some 50,000 people (most of them were Christians)
were countered by the Maronite Church opposition and threats to mobilize
the masses.( 14 ) It
is in the midst of this heightened atmosphere that the controversial
issue of Palestinian resettlement is being discussed.
Lebanese
What frightens Lebanon most is while Syria and Israel
enter peace talks that could reshape the region is whether Lebanon's
interests and the lingering problem of Palestinian refugees on its
territory will be forgotten at the negotiation table.( 15 )
Lebanon would like the peace talks to provide for the
Palestinian departure, but it has real concerns about whether that
will happen and lacks leverage to accomplish the goal. The Lebanese
government has insisted several times lately that Palestinian refugees
will not be allowed to stay in Lebanon.
Beirut constantly repeats the 1998 mantra of former Prime
Minister Rafic Hariri "Lebanon will never, ever integrate the Palestinians." They
will not receive civic or economic rights or even work permits. Integration
would take the Palestinians off the international agency that has supported
them since 1948.
On the pretext of "rejecting the naturalization of the
refugees and their permanent settlement Palestinians" Lebanon continues
to deny them their basic rights. In the absence of a definite plan
to deal with this crucial issue, Lebanon has refused to participate
in the multi-lateral meetings entrusted with the examination of the
Palestinian problem and is, consequently, absent from the negotiations.
Lebanese Politicians have always suspected Canada's involvement
in an attempt to settle permanently Palestinians in Lebanon. In 1998,
Lebanese newspapers exposed information related to "implanting" up
to 200,000 Palestinians in Lebanon. This could be done only after weakening
Christian political opposition and aggravating the economic crisis
in the country to ease the implementation of the plan.( 16 )
Chamber of Deputies Speaker Nabih Berri fears Israel's
plan to force the assimilation of Palestinians in their host countries,
particularly in Lebanon with the help of the Canadian government: "Canada
is part of a conspiracy against the Lebanese and Palestinian people
and responsible for resettling Palestinians at the expense of Lebanon
and Palestine".( 17 )
Canadian officials have regularly denied the existence
of "secret plans relating to the fate of the Palestinians in Lebanon. "There
is no hidden plan, nor secret scheme, nor was there ever." ( 18 )
The Lebanese government insists on the "repatriation
of Palestinian refugees," or anything that will remove the non-citizen
Palestinian population in the country. This is due both to sectarian
politics and the legacies of past conflict. The Palestinian's great
contribution to Lebanese national post-taïf reconciliation has
been that "they have taken all the blame for the civil war."
Recent statements by Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Barak
had ruled out the return of hundred thousands of refugees to Israel. "I
don't think there are any circumstances under which they will be able
to return to Israel, a solution for them should be found in the countries
where they are now living". But Lebanon has expressed its complete
disagreement. It has made the return of the refugees a precondition
for peace with Israel. Lebanon President Emile Lahoud stressed "our
position is that we insist on an Israeli withdrawal from South Lebanon
and the Golan Heights and a guarantee of the right of Palestinian refugees
in Lebanon to return home."
In reply to Barak's statements, Prime Minister Selim
Al-Hoss declared, "Lebanon categorically rejects his statements and
insists on having its say regarding the fate of the refugees. We will
not allow others to decide their fate because we are directly involved."( 19 )
Speaking before the UN General Assembly Hoss cautioned
the international community that peace cannot exist in the Middle East
if the Palestinian refugees are allowed to stay in Lebanon. "Installation
of the Palestinian refugees in Lebanon is rejected both by the Palestinians
and the Lebanese. It would represent a potentially tenuous situation
that would put the security and stability of the Middle East in peril." ( 20 )
Lebanese unanimous rejection of Palestinian implantation
in Lebanon is reflected in the country's constitution, which states
that there will be "no partition and no implantation." The State's
position emanates from Lebanon's worries of the disruptive effect on
the country's sectarian sensitive mosaic and upsetting its demographic
structure. Politicians and important popular figures suspect it as
an Israeli plan whose objective is to cause the disintegration of the
Lebanese State.( 21 )
Hoss comments were intended to allay right wing Christian
fears that a resettlement of the predominantly Muslim Palestinians
would upset Lebanon's delicate sectarian balance. Maronite Patriarch
Cardinal Nasrallah Boutros Sfeir openly expressed these fears. "The
peace that is being promised may have adverse consequences. If the
resettlement of Palestinians in vast under-populated Arab countries
is not acceptable then the effects on a small highly over-populated
country like Lebanon would be even more dire," he said during a sermon.
Elsewhere, Sfeir added, "Lebanon has suffered for 25 years because
of Palestinian presence and today we hear rumors that the past situation
is likely to be recreated . the memory of the Cairo Agreement
and Fathland are still alive."( 23 ) For
Sfeir, the issue of the Palestinian refugees in the country is hampering
Lebanon's peace and tranquility.
Hoss position seems to find a wide backing by other politicians
of different religious and political backgrounds. As early as 1997,
Speaker of the Parliament Nabih Berri categorically rejected resettling
the Palestinians in Lebanon . a stand not subject to any
discussion or compromise. "We are all, as Lebanese, against permanent
resettlement, and no one can accept this disaster, this question is
categorically rejected by all parties in Lebanon." MP Ahmed Karami
declared.( 24 ) While
the foreign media have been suggesting that resettlement is going to
be imposed on the Lebanese we think that the Lebanese people because
of their unity and solidarity can stop any resettlement plan" he added.
Others like MP Kamil Ziadé consider that Lebanon will refute "the
implantation of Palestinians" because of its economic and demographic
repercussions.
Christians consider that resettling the Palestinians
permanently is beyond the capacity of Lebanon to absorb. It may threaten
its very existence by endangering its natural unity and economy. Many
advance the argument that Lebanon stands among the countries with the
highest population density and the least resources and wealth.( 25 ) They
emphasize that Lebanon is a country of emigration and not immigration
and settlement, losing people as a result of war and the bad economy.
The chaotic naturalization of transient residents in addition to the
settling of Palestinian refugees would increase Lebanon's population
by 25%. No country can absorb that demographic change.
Sample
The study was based on a stratified random sample of
1,073 Lebanese respondents and was carried out during the period December
(1999) to January (2000). The sample includes 385 female respondents
(36%) although interviewing women in any part of the Arab World is
not an easy task. Respondents from the six major Lebanese religious
groups drawn from the different Lebanese regions were interviewed.
An effort was made to reflect the expected representation of each confessional
group in proportion to their actual size in Lebanon's population as
nearly as possible.( 26 )
The response rate based upon the number of completed
interviews, as compared with those attempted was
80 percent. In most essential respects the sample
reflected the most important characteristics of the Lebanese population
over the age of 18.( 27 ) The
only demographic feature that differs from the population
is education, with better-educated individuals being
over represented in the sample.( 28 )
Analysis of the Findings
Table 1: Perception
of Palestinians (N=716)
|
Maronites |
Greek-Catholics |
Greek-Orthodox |
Sunnis |
Shiis |
Druze |
N=218
% |
N=67
% |
N=75
% |
N=113
% |
N=184
% |
N=59
% |
|
Closest |
6 |
6 |
7 |
27 |
13 |
17 |
2
nd closest |
3 |
5 |
7 |
18 |
10 |
27 |
Neutral |
17 |
12 |
24 |
24 |
22 |
29 |
2
nd least close |
3 |
12 |
9 |
4 |
13 |
3 |
Least
close |
71 |
66 |
53 |
27 |
42 |
24 |
* Percentages may not add up to
100 due to rounding.
Cramer's V = 0.22
Alpha = 0.05
The questions included in this part
are believed to have a direct impact on "The Resettlement
of Palestinians in Lebanon". The literature or refugees
stresses the distinction between voluntary immigrants
(who choose to migrate) and refugees (who were forced
to migrate). However, this supposed voluntary/involuntary
divide doesn't apply to the status of Palestinians
who have been living in Lebanon for more than 50
years. Instead, the questions in this part explore
the different dimensions and practices that facilitate
or hamper social and civic integration of Palestinians
in a manner that minimizes or increases adverse impact
on Lebanese population and measure the potentials
for community tensions. ( 29 )
Table 2: What is your
most important contact with "Palestinians"? (N=1,047)
|
% |
Friendship |
18 |
Occupational |
5 |
Fraternal
or civic |
3 |
Residential |
6 |
Political |
3 |
None |
65 |
Total |
100 |
Measures of inter-group perceptions
and tolerance of Palestinians are being discussed
in this part. They constitute a first step in the
integration process of immigrants or refugees in
any society.
The thermometer scale was employed
for the purpose of obtaining a high level of accuracy
in measuring the intensity of inter-group perceptions
of Palestinians. The attitudes shown in table 1 suggest
strong lack of warmth toward Palestinians with the
exception of Sunnis and Druze respondents. The pattern
of responses could be explained in relation to the
nature of political conflict in Lebanon. While Palestinians
are continuously portrayed as "trouble-makers" and
are blamed for their role in the Lebanese civil war,
Christian and Shii groups regard them as a potential
political threat. Maronite vision of Lebanon as a
Christian homeland where the Maronite community assumes
a "privileged position" is endangered by Palestinian
presence on Lebanese soil. Maronites always adopted
a hostile standpoint from the Palestinian resistance,
for their exploitation of the internal contradictions
of Lebanese society to their own ends. Christians,
unlike Muslim groups, seem to perpetuate a negative
image of the Palestinian people in the post-civil
war period. During the civil war, Palestinian refugees
were themselves often targets for violence. First
they where attacked by Christian right wing militias
in 1982 in Sabra and Shatila camps. And later on,
the "war of the camps" initiated by Syrian backed
Shiite-Amal militias had devastating results on the
Palestinians. While it occurred in the latter half
of the 1980's, this war was supposed to ensure a
dispersal of the refugees, the destruction of the
camps, and such a diminishment of their number so
that they would never regain political power or autonomy
in Lebanon.( 30 ) This
explains in part Shiis respondents' misperceptions
of Palestinians.
Table 2 suggests that personal contacts
between respondents and Palestinians are very limited.
Two third of the respondents disclaimed any relations
with Palestinians, while most of those who reported
an association spoke only in terms of simple friendship.
Other areas of contact included occupational, residential,
civic and political contacts, all of which were narrow
in scope.
Table 3: Relationships
Between Religious Backgrounds and Most Important
Personal Contact With Palestinians?
|
Maronites |
Greek-Catholics |
Greek-Orthodox |
Sunnis |
Shiis |
Druze |
N=302
% |
N=106
% |
N=101
% |
N=190
% |
N=276
% |
N=72
% |
|
Friendship |
11 |
11 |
15 |
30 |
21 |
19 |
Occupational |
3 |
4 |
4 |
7 |
5 |
7 |
Fraternal
or civic |
2 |
5 |
4 |
6 |
2 |
- |
Residential |
4 |
2 |
11 |
10 |
8 |
3 |
Political |
- |
- |
1 |
7 |
5 |
3 |
None |
80 |
78 |
65 |
40 |
58 |
68 |
* Percentages may not add up to
100 due to rounding.
Cramer's V = 0.15
Alpha = 0.05
Table 4: Intensity
of Inter-group Interaction With Palestinians (N=872)
|
Maronites |
Greek-Catholics |
Greek-Orthodox |
Sunnis |
Shiis |
Druze |
N=260
% |
N=87
% |
N=82
% |
N=157
% |
N=221
% |
N=65
% |
|
Warmest |
8 |
5 |
2 |
33 |
20 |
22 |
Warm |
9 |
21 |
22 |
28 |
28 |
43 |
Neutral |
20 |
16 |
23 |
21 |
14 |
14 |
Cold |
15 |
18 |
13 |
8 |
11 |
6 |
Coldest |
49 |
40 |
39 |
10 |
28 |
15 |
* Percentages may not add up to
100 due to rounding.
Cramer's V = 0.23
Alpha = 0.05
Tables 3 and 4 show the results of
the relationships between the religious background
of the respondents and the propensity for inter-group
contract. Sunnis respondents reported frequent contacts
with members of the Palestinian community more than
any other Lebanese group. This finding is confirmed
in Table 4 where Sunnis and Druze respondents manifest
highly positive propensity for interacting comfortably
with Palestinians. During the Lebanese civil war,
the Sunnis have expressed a moderate attitude refusing
to build a militia and to get involved militarily
in the Lebanese conflict. Instead, they allied themselves
with the Palestinians with an aim of reforming the
Lebanese political system but without any success.
Ever since the tripartite agreement in 1985 the Sunnis
were excluded and became marginalized in the Lebanese
political scene. In 1976, Kamal Jumblat, Druze leader
of the Lebanese National Movement and an important
segment of the Muslim elite felt that the PLO's military
presence in Lebanon offered them a rare opportunity
to extract significant political concession from
the Maronite ruling state.
On the other hand, Druze standpoint
has to do mainly with the outcome of the 1983 mountain
war when their successful alliance with Palestinian
factions proved to be the turning point for Druze
victory over the right wing Lebanese Forces militia.
As might be expected, Christian respondents
reported infrequent personal contact with Palestinians.
Attitudes Toward Residential Integration
The questions included in this part
aim at measuring patterns of residential integration
or segregation. The dimension of social interaction
between Palestinians and their host population is
conceived as an accurate measure of integration if
resettlement is to occur. Integrated housing, where
different groups live side by side is believed to
lessen prejudice as compared with segregated housing
or regional separation of minority groups. Segregated
housing, whether coerced or voluntary, means segregation
in much else. It means foremost that children will
go to schools attended largely or entirely by members
of their own group. Rosemary Sayigh suggests that
evidence from the third generation of refugees in
Lebanon indicates marked discrimination in universities,
the work place and social life, and indicates the
presence of uncrossable boundaries. Based on the
1992 FAO Survey, Sayigh asserts the presence of "signs
of the tenacity of refugee/non-refugee boundaries." ( 31 )
According to Sayigh "Palestinian refugees
have been pathologized in a manner reminiscent of
turn-of-the century American hyperbole that immigrants
carried tuberculosis. Segregating Palestinian would
facilitate normalization of post-war Lebanon with
national health restored through the isolation of
an infection presence."
Table 5: Relationship
Between Religious Affiliation and Palestinian Neighborhood (N=1,065)
|
Maronites |
Greek-Catholics |
Greek-Orthodox |
Sunnis |
Shiis |
Druze |
|
N=307
% |
N=110
% |
N=100
% |
N=189
% |
N=286
% |
N=73
% |
Yes |
40 |
51 |
42 |
51 |
57 |
50 |
No |
47 |
43 |
46 |
38 |
39 |
41 |
Unsure |
13 |
6 |
12 |
11 |
4 |
9 |
* Percentages may not add up to
100 due to rounding.
Cramer's V = 0.13
Alpha = 0.05
Table 6: Relationship
Between Religious Affiliation and Living in a Palestinian
Neighborhood (N=1,060)
|
Maronites |
Greek-Catholics |
Greek-Orthodox |
Sunnis |
Shiis |
Druze |
N=307
% |
N=107
% |
N=101
% |
N=191
% |
N=281
% |
N=73
% |
|
Yes |
7 |
13 |
15 |
36 |
24 |
33 |
No |
84 |
81 |
74 |
51 |
71 |
58 |
Unsure |
9 |
6 |
11 |
13 |
6 |
10 |
* Percentages may not add up to
100 due to rounding.
Cramer's V = 0.21
Alpha = 0.05
On the first question, Lebanese respondents
were divided. While the results excluded the presence
of a pre-determined negative attitude toward residential
contact with Palestinians, they serve to show that
50 percent of the respondents, in contrast to 41
percent, do not see living side by side with Palestinians
as a menace.
Lebanese visibility of Palestinians
is reduced also due to past-civil war history of
living together. Refugee camps had been scattered
among the different Lebanese regions and some like
Shatila and Bourj Al-Branch Beirut, and Ain Al-Helweh
in Saida, had merged with surrounding Lebanese areas.
However, only 20 percent of the respondents
manifested willingness to live in Palestinian neighborhoods
in contrast to 71 percent who manifest avoidance
of Palestinian localities. Among the different sects,
only one-third of Sunni and Druze respondents manifested
willingness to living in Palestinian neighborhood.
Inside Palestinian camps, violent clashes are frequently
reported. Probably fear of endangering their own
life and property explains Lebanese respondents negative
stance.
Attitudes Toward Integrated
Education
The patterns of the responses displayed
by Lebanese respondents show that they are divided
on this issue. While 43 percent do not object Palestinian
students attending same schools and colleges, (as
opposed to 45 percent), with Lebanese students, only
30 percent are willing, (in contrast o 63 percent)
do not object sending their children to Palestinian
schools. The bivariate analysis ascertain that Muslim
groups manifest greater readiness to accept both
propositions. In an attempt to justify Christian
hesitation whether in welcoming Palestinian students
or sending their students to Palestinian schools,
the cultural component should be considered. In theory,
schools, at every level, are likely to promote the
dominant culture of the society in consideration
and to undermine all others.
The Palestinian struggle for self-determination
and liberation was upheld by Palestinian intellectuals.
Formal education provides only the means for pursuing
a revolutionary consciousness of liberation. While
in Lebanese schools and colleges, teachers may reluctantly
tell something about Palestine, in Palestinian schools,
Palestinian history of struggles and revolution tend
to be preponderant.( 32 ) This
could explain Christian avoidance of the latter type.
Table 7: Relationship
Between Religious Affiliation and Lebanese Students
Attending Same Schools (N=1,050)
|
Maronites |
Greek-Catholics |
Greek-Orthodox |
Sunnis |
Shiis |
Druze |
|
N=306
% |
N=106
% |
N=101
% |
N=190
% |
N=283
% |
N=73
% |
Same
Schools |
27 |
28 |
30 |
61 |
49 |
70 |
Separate
Schools |
61 |
55 |
50 |
30 |
40 |
19 |
Unsure |
12 |
17 |
21 |
9 |
11 |
11 |
* Percentages may not add up to
100 due to rounding.
Cramer's V = 0.23
Alpha = 0.05
Table 8: Relationship
Between Religious Affiliation and Sending Students
to Palestinian Schools (N=1,061)
|
Maronites |
Greek-Catholics |
Greek-Orthodox |
Sunnis |
Shiis |
Druze |
N=306
% |
N=110
% |
N=99
% |
N=191
% |
N=282
% |
N=73
% |
|
Yes |
14 |
18 |
21 |
51 |
37 |
55 |
No |
78 |
76 |
72 |
41 |
58 |
40 |
Unsure |
8 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
5 |
6 |
* Percentages may not add up to
100 due to rounding.
Cramer's V = 0.21
Alpha = 0.05
Intermarriage With Palestinians
Table 9: Relationship Between Religious
Affiliation and Accepting Relative Marrying Palestinians (N=1,058)
|
Maronites |
Greek-Catholics |
Greek-Orthodox |
Sunnis |
Shiis |
Druze |
N=305
% |
N=108
% |
N=100
% |
N=101
% |
N=282
% |
N=72
% |
|
Yes |
18 |
21 |
17 |
48 |
29 |
33 |
No |
54 |
53 |
51 |
25 |
47 |
36 |
Unsure |
28 |
26 |
32 |
27 |
24 |
31 |
* Percentages may not add up to
100 due to rounding.
Cramer's V = 0.19
Alpha = 0.05
The findings suggest that 28% of the
respondents do not object intermarriage with Palestinians
while 27% are unsure. However, a large minority (45%)
expressed their opposition. While the percentage
of respondents supporting marriages with Palestinians
may seem relatively low, it is in fact acceptable
when taken in the Lebanese social context. Marriages
between members of Lebanese communities are infrequent
in practice. While civil marriages are infrequent
in Lebanese society, most people are accustomized
to marrying within the same religious faith and probably
the same sectarian group. The fact that Armenians
are until today not well integrated in Lebanese society
enhances this proposition.
Table 10: Relationship
Between Religious Affiliation and Government Banning
Intermarriages (N=1,059)
|
Maronites |
Greek-Catholics |
Greek-Orthodox |
Sunnis |
Shiis |
Druze |
N=305
% |
N=109
% |
N=100
% |
N=190
% |
N=283
% |
N=72
% |
Yes |
32 |
28 |
34 |
6 |
16 |
13 |
No |
56 |
57 |
53 |
82 |
70 |
83 |
Unsure |
12 |
16 |
13 |
13 |
14 |
4 |
* Percentages may not add up to
100 due to rounding.
Cramer's V = 0.19
Alpha = 0.05
While only one fifth support the proposition
(21%), a two-third majority of the respondents objected
to the government banning intermarriages. In fact,
this question, if supported, would have enhanced
the accusations of Lebanese displaying prejudice
against Palestinians, the results disclaimed this
possibility. However, Christian groups inclination
to sustain this hypothesis is explained on different
grounds. While difference in faith should be considered,
a long history of bloodshed between Christians and
Palestinians could not be kept a part for many of
them.
Views on Naturalization
An estimated 400,000 people were granted
citizenship as a result of the 1994 decree, which
the Maronite League opposed on the basis that it
granted citizenship to undeserving applicants: the
decree was at the time opposed by Lebanese from all
faiths by the same token. Maronite Patriarch Cardinal
Sfeir railed to block attempts to enact a new controversial
decree.
Only 4 percent of the respondents felt
that the Nationalization Decree was appropriate.
In contrast 41 percent said it was too rigid and
55 percent that it should be ceased.
Greek-Catholic and Greek-Orthodox respondents
seem to side with the Maronites on this particular
proposal. The Malachite Bishop of Zahlé, an
overwhelmingly Catholic concentrated region, claimed
that the government was encouraging 50,000 Christians
from Syria, Jordan and other countries to apply for
citizenship even though they had no intention in
living in Lebanon and therefore would be of no benefit
to the country or its economy. Their usefulness,
if the plan is a serious proposition, would be as
a make weight for the numbers gone.( 33 )
As to the major deficiency in the naturalization
decree a substantial majority felt that Lebanon's
national interest was not guaranteed in the decree.
In contrast, only 18 percent of the respondents felt
that the alleged naturalization of few Palestinians
was the deficiency. On the other hand, only 17 percent
of the respondents seem to attribute the major deficiency
in the Naturalization decree to its exclusion of
Lebanese emigrant citizenship right. For years there
have been arguments, mainly from Christian politicians
that Lebanese emigrants should be able to vote in
elections through the embassies of their countries.
At present citizens residing abroad must return to
Lebanon to cast their votes. The aim was to preserve
the estimated balance of the population.
Compared to the results depicted by
the 1994 study, respondents of all sects seem to
maintain an increasingly negative attitude from the
1994 naturalization decree. The pattern of the responses
could be explained by reference to several factors:
1. Analysts and politicians have increasingly
focused on the negative aspects of the "naturalization" decree.
For this purpose, several conferences were held to
discuss the implications of the 1994 decree on Lebanon.
While all participants in these meeting agree on
the adverse repercussions of naturalization, they
also have used this question to discredit the previous
government responsible for its enactment.
2. The medias have extensively portrayed
the Palestinian refugee presence "as a time bomb
expected to detonate any time causing the disintegration
of Lebanese society.
3. Actual Official Lebanese statements
serve to mobilizing the public against attempts at
naturalization.
4. President Hrawi's intention, towards
the end of his mandate, to enact a supplement to
the 1994 decree and the wide opposition and antagonism
it created.
5. Interior Minister Michel Al-Murr
said a new clause has been added to the naturalization
draft law to prevent Palestinians from gaining citizenship.
This change is intended to quell the fears of some
groups such as the Maronite League," Murr said. Barak's
statement raise fears in Lebanon that they will have
to pay the price for a regional settlement. ( 34 )
Position on Palestinian Civic Rights
The official policy of the Lebanese
government falls actually within the framework to
stimulate Palestinian emigration from Lebanon to
end with the lightest possible Palestinian demographic
and political burden.
An overwhelming majority of the respondents
(68%) agreed that Palestinians in Lebanon should
be entitled to some or most social and economic rights.
Conversely, only a slight minority (8%) and one-fourth
of the respondents felt that Palestinians should
be eligible to citizenship or to no rights at all
respectively.
Christian groups were more reluctant
to acknowledge Palestinian rights. The sectarian
structure of the Lebanese political system in which
Christian Maronites were dominant in the past prevented
the acceptance of Palestinians into Lebanese society.
This continued to be the rule even after Maronite
dominance was greatly reduced by the end of the civil
war. Those who insist on denying Palestinians their
most essential rights justify their attitude on the
basis of refusing resettlement. In all, the majority
of respondents seem to accept the idea of granting
Palestinian social rights and to have put behind
sectarian attitudes behind. On this point, they seem
to disagree with the Lebanese official unjustified
standpoint.
Table 11: Relationship
Between Religious Background and Granting Palestinians
Basic Rights (N=946)
|
Maronites |
Greek-Catholics |
Greek-Orthodox |
Sunnis |
Shiis |
Druze |
N=256
% |
N=91
% |
N=85
% |
N=177
% |
N=267
% |
N=71
% |
Citizenship |
3 |
8 |
2 |
15 |
9 |
10 |
Civic
and social rights |
63 |
59 |
62 |
75 |
69 |
82 |
No
rights |
34 |
33 |
35 |
10 |
23 |
9 |
* Percentages may not add up to
100 due to rounding.
Cramer's V = 0.19
Alpha = 0.05
Awareness of the issue of Palestinian resettlement in Lebanon
Compared to the findings of the study
conducted by Khashan( 35 ) in
1994, the results confirm the growing feeling among
Lebanese of conspirational plans aiming at imposing
resettlement. Interestingly only 12% (as compared
to 11% in 1994) are willing to accept resettlement
in case of its occurrence. Rejection of resettlement
under the pretext of a conspiracy against the Lebanese
republic is not only the official banner but also
the declared position of all political forces and
religious authorities.
The percentage of "unsure" respondents
to the questions "whether there are plans for resettlement" and "whether
resettlement will be imposed" has dropped to 14 percent
and 17% in contrast to 40 and 53 percent in 1994.
Lebanese media determination to disseminate
proposed resettlement schemes related to the peace
negotiations and US, Canadian and Israeli alleged
support for such proposal contribute further to enhancing
Lebanon's worries.
Table 12
|
Yes
% |
No
% |
Unsure
% |
Are
there plans for resettlement? (N=1,063) |
57 |
29 |
14 |
Will
resettlement be imposed on Lebanon? (N=1,048) |
62 |
24 |
17 |
Will
you accept resettlement? (N=1,052) |
12 |
72 |
17 |
Will
your position change in the future? (N=1,049) |
29 |
56 |
16 |
* Percentages may not add up to
100 due to rounding.
Members of the International community
have taken positions that enhance Lebanon's suspicion.
France and the US have advised the Lebanese officials
to cease their public statements on the resettlement
of the Palestinian refugees and to take a more logical
stand in order to find a real solution for this humanitarian
and security problem. Accordingly, this issue cannot
be resolved outside the bilateral talks between Lebanon
and Israel and without the intervention of great
powers. "Insisting on refusing resettlement is not
a practical solution. The Palestinians will not be
repatriated but this doesn't mean they will be nationalized . other
alternatives will be considered." ( 36 )
Lebanese newspapers have been emphasizing
their government's worries concerning the 360,000
Palestinian refugees in the country. The probability
that they may be allowed to stay indefinitely has
increased Lebanese suspicions. ( 37 )
Projection of the Nature of Damaging Repercussions of Palestinian Resettlement
Table 13
In
my opinion, resettlement will have:
(N=1,050) % |
|
In
your opinion what are the repercussions of
resettling Palestinians in Lebanon?
(N=1,039) % |
Damaging
repercussions |
51 |
Upsetting
the sectarian balance |
75 |
Partially
negative repercussions |
33 |
Economic |
17 |
Unsure
of the impact of resettlement |
16 |
No
result |
8 |
On average, 75 percent of the respondents
acknowledge that resettlement will have a disruptive
effect on Lebanon socio-political sensitive balance.
This balance is upset even by the slightest change
of one of its components. The permanent presence
of Palestinians in Lebanon continues to worry a substantial
portion of the Lebanese population.
The second worry was economic; it was
mentioned by 17 percent of those who responded to
the question. Opponents of Palestinian resettlement
have always justified their position on economic
basis. Lebanon suffers actually from a chronic social
and economic crisis. According to the data provided
by the UN survey, 41 percent of Lebanese adult population
has expressed willingness to emigrate from the country.
In fact, 22 percent said they have already applied
for emigration. One major cause was said to be unemployment
has reached 27 percent.( 38 )
Expected Course of Action Against an Imposed Settlement
Table 14: Relationship
Between Religious Affiliation and expected course
of action (N=1,008)
|
Maronites |
Greek-Catholics |
Greek-Orthodox |
Sunnis |
Shiis |
Druze |
N=299
% |
N=103
% |
N=96
% |
N=169
% |
N=269
% |
N=72
% |
Acquiesce |
23 |
28 |
27 |
44 |
26 |
26 |
Protest
non-violently |
52 |
44 |
51 |
49 |
59 |
61 |
Resist
militarily |
26 |
28 |
22 |
7 |
16 |
13 |
* Percentages may not add up to
100 due to rounding.
Cramer's V = 0.16
Alpha = 0.05
Judgments about which activities were
considered legitimate and effective in reaction to
resettlement varied markedly. Nearly three of ten
(28%) people believed their group should "do nothing" and
more than five in ten (53%) approved of non-violent
protest. Military resistance, in sharp contrast,
was regarded as effective by only one-fifth of the
respondents (19%). Thus, although their course of
political action extends well beyond acquiescing
to "imposed resettlement," an overwhelming majority
of the Lebanese draws a line when it comes to disruptive
and violent confrontation. The bivariate analysis
indicates that Christian groups are more likely to
be military active than their Muslim counterparts.
Among Lebanese groups, Christians have always considered
Palestinian presence in Lebanon and PLO's behavior
an infringement of the country's sovereignty. During
the civil war the right-wing parties (Kataeb, NLP)
were the first to engage in military confrontations
with armed Palestinian movements. Actually, only
a minority (25%) is willing to engage in such activities
in the absence of real mobilization and commitment
to strong political parties and leaders. In post-war
Lebanon, Christian parties were not able to assume
any important role whether in public life or at the
community level. However, it would be no easy thing
to accept resettlement. This is confirmed by the
planned conference of Lebanese spiritual leaders
of all denomination that aims to foil the resettlement
of Palestinians, and also by a wide variety of Lebanese
political forces for the call made by National Liberal
Party leader Dory Chamoun for a national convention
to resist resettlement. ( 39 )
The Muslims for their part, and especially
the Shiis, who form the core of the resistance movements
against Israeli Army in the South, manifest clear
disapproval of the use of violence against Palestinians.
How can they justify their fiercefull struggle which
has been going on for 17 years against the Israeli
enemy by confronting the Palestinians? In general,
all six group low predisposition toward armed action
has to do partly with the increased jurisdiction
assumed by Lebanese authorities. Almost eleven years
after the implementation of the Taïf Accord
that terminated the state of war in the country,
Lebanese citizens have been more and more accustomed
to the prevailing authority of the Lebanese State
and to dismiss more and more resorting to weapons
for solving conflicts.
Expected Political Impact of Resettlement
The findings demonstrate that while
only 34 percent expressed their support 47 percent
of the respondents oppose living under the existing
political system as laid down by the Taïf Accord
if resettlement is imposed on Lebanon. Conversely,
as few as 19 percent were undecided on the political
outcome of resettlement.
As a result of Palestinian resettlement
Lebanese communities start expressing their dissatisfaction
with the existing political arrangement. Most Christians
rejected the Taïf regime as they felt politically
underrepresented, alienated and excluded both from
Christian participants in government and from Christian
parties, which had accepted the new order but dissented
on details. They have already lost their supremacy
and Palestinian resettlement will contribute to undermining
their position further. Their preferred option is
clearly decentralization which they have been experiencing
and putting forward since 1975 as their best "projected
solution" for the Lebanese conflict. While the Taïf
Agreement calls for administrative reorganization
on the basis of geography or decentralization, this
part was disregarded in practice by successive Lebanese
governments.
Sunni respondents seem to accept more
than any other group the legitimacy of the Taïf
arrangement. The Sunni community recovered some weight
in Taïf Lebanon, with the resurgence of the
older upper class, the eclipse of militias, Maronite
misfortunes and an enhanced role of Sunni Prime Minister.
Despite their rising power under the
Taïf System, the Shii feel "cheated" by the
arrangement. Although winners, at least on the political
level, since they achieved greater visibility and
enlarged participation composed to their marginalized
position in the pre-war period. However, there are
important numbers of Shiis that are less supportive
to the existing government in the event of Palestinian
resettlement in the country. They already consider
that the Taïf reforms have given too much power
to the Sunnis. Palestinians would contribute further
to the enhancing Sunni political position. Shii would
then prefer an alternative political arrangement
where they would retain their privileged. The resettlement
of their Palestinian coreligionist is expected to
strengthen their political power. For those who reject
the Taïf distribution of offices, the alternative
would be a political system where the actual allocation
of top political position is reversed in favor of
the Sunnis. Surprisingly, neither Sunni nor Shiis
respondents displayed any considerable preference
for a religious (Islamic) state as an alternative.
Druze support for the actual political
arrangement depends on continuous benefits in term
of political power and resources. Actually the Druze
are assuming a political position beyond their demographic
strength. In case this equation is subjected to change
they would opt for their preferred option, decentralization
which they experienced in the Shuff mountain (1983-1990).
Their second preference is a secular political system
and the abolition of confessionalism from politics.
Given their small number, they always preferred to
carry a secular objective in order to gain an important
share in Lebanon's political life.
Table 15: Relationship
Between Attitude Toward Taïf and Religious Affiliation (N=1,046)
|
Maronites |
Greek-Catholics |
Greek-Orthodox |
Sunnis |
Shiis |
Druze |
|
N=299
% |
N=108
% |
N=97
% |
N=186
% |
N=283
% |
N=73
% |
Yes |
22 |
19 |
28 |
53 |
38 |
48 |
No |
62 |
58 |
49 |
29 |
43 |
32 |
Unsure |
16 |
22 |
24 |
18 |
19 |
21 |
* Percentages may not add up to
100 due to rounding.
Cramer's V = 0.2
Alpha = 0.05
Table 16: Relationship
Between Religious Background and Alternative Political
Solution (N=659)
|
Maronites |
Greek-Catholics |
Greek-Orthodox |
Sunnis |
Shiis |
Druze |
N=222
% |
N=80
% |
N=69
% |
N=85
% |
N=169
% |
N=34
% |
Decentralization |
61 |
68 |
59 |
20 |
25 |
56 |
Religious
State |
5 |
3 |
4 |
9 |
5 |
- |
Authoritarian
State |
2 |
3 |
1 |
11 |
5 |
3 |
Other |
32 |
28 |
35 |
60 |
64 |
41 |
* Percentages may not add up to
100 due to rounding.
Cramer's V = 0.23
Alpha = 0.05
Proposed Resumption of the Civil War as a Result of Resettlement
Table 17: Relationship
Between Religious Affiliation and Proposed Resumption
of Civil War (N=1,057)
|
Maronites |
Greek-Catholics |
Greek-Orthodox |
Sunnis |
Shiis |
Druze |
N=306
% |
N=109
% |
N=97
% |
N=189
% |
N=282
% |
N=73
% |
Yes |
66 |
62 |
57 |
22 |
44 |
22 |
No |
16 |
18 |
22 |
60 |
37 |
63 |
Unsure |
18 |
20 |
22 |
18 |
19 |
15 |
* Percentages may not add up to
100 due to rounding.
Cramer's V = 0.28
Alpha = 0.05
A large minority of Lebanese respondents
(48%) believes that resettling the Palestinians would
cause the eruption of a civil war. In contrast to
one-third of the respondents who dismissed that possibility.
Many Lebanese blame the Palestinians
for providing the fuel for the civil war that laid
waste to Lebanon from 1975 to 1990. And while they
are reluctant to recall the murderous fighting that
went on between Lebanese militias, they are quick
to point fingers at the Palestinians, whose cross
border attacks on Northern Israel prompted the Israeli
to invade Lebanon in 1982. Today, Palestinian camps
remain political and military "ghettos," with several
hundred armed men belonging to different Palestinian
factions. The situation is complicated further in
light of the recession of Syrian-Israeli talks. Syria,
who assumes full hegemony over Lebanese public life
and political decision-making, supports the maintaining
of Palestinian armed presence as part of their strategy.
Undoubtedly, the Syrians would choose to reactivate
the Lebanese-Israeli front, in the event of the failure
of the peace talks, through their pro-Syrian Palestinian
fighters in the camps. In connection with Syrian
strategy, the Lebanese government finds itself compelled
to acquiesce to unabated armed Palestinian presence
in refugee camps which reenacts the civil war day.( 40 ) The
pro-Arafat Palestinians for their part, refuse to
hand out their weapons in the absence of a clear
understanding with Lebanese authorities concerning
the camps: "Weapons may be needed to cope with particular
instances" according to Chafic Al Hout ( 41 ), The
former representative of the PLO in Beirut.
The bivariate analysis demonstrates
a tendency among Christian respondents to expect
the resumption of the civil war. The Palestinization
of the country in the past prompted them to take
up arms and to think of the unthinkable: an alliance
with Israel and a full commitment to partition. Today
Lebanese Christians are thinking, out of fear and
on the basis of equal treatment to all, to keep their
arms. Palestinian resettlement will push Christian
political position to bring demands for fair, just
and equal representation in the system and in the
light of new demographic shifts. ( 42 )
Conclusion and Implications of the Study
The study has shown that the issue
of Palestinian resettlement triggers wide opposition
among Lebanese. Opposition stems from all Lebanese
groups to "resettling the Palestinians" in the sense
of granting them citizenship and political rights
and in the sense of massive naturalization. On the
other hand, the other aspect of resettlement, related
to granting Palestinians their civic rights is welcomed
by the majority of Lebanese. While the country's
constitution, government officials, spiritual leaders
and the mass medias outright rejection of resettlement
is based on the first definition in the constitution
nowhere is stated that Palestinian social and economic
rights are to be denied. On the contrary granting
Palestinians their civic rights would serve to alleviate
their socio-economic situation in Lebanon and reduce
the country's economic problem.
Accordingly, allowing Palestinians
to improve their social and economic situation would
not be only conform to the Lebanese democratic tradition
but would enable Palestinians to assume the stand
of a community in the Diaspora, like any other Arab
community in Lebanon. The Lebanese government would
be able to correct the anomalous situation of the
Palestinians with its corresponding restrictions
without considering this step a move towards indirect
resettlement. ( 43 )
The other dimension of the problem
is related to the disruptive impact of resettlement,
namely the demographic, economic, political and historical
reasons and consequences. According to the Raghid
Solh,( 44 ) "most
of those who reject resettlement dwell on the demographic
impact on Lebanese society". The resettling of Palestinians
who are Sunni Muslims in their majority would disturb
the delicate balance between religious groups. This
was confirmed by the survey. The economic impact
of resettlement was only stressed by a minority of
the respondents. As for those who stress the political
and historical reason for rejecting resettlement
they emphasize the link between the presence of the
Palestinians in Lebanon and the wars and troubles
it has been through. They see in Palestinian armed
presence a dangerous impetus for another civil war.
While the majority of Christians would
seek, in case resettlement was imposed, an alternative
political arrangement than the existing one, the
Sunnis and the Druze seem the least affected by Palestinian
resettlement.
In fact, Druze leader Walid Jumblat
had suggested back in 1994 that several thousand
Palestinians thrown out of East Beirut be resettled
in a deserted village on the southern margin of the
Shuff; i.e., Quraï. Jumblat received backing
from Hariri, who shared his opinion about the impracticality
of expelling Palestinians from the country.( 45 ) While
this proposal expressed a common Druze-Sunni interest;
Which seems to be confirmed by the findings since
Sunni and Druze respondents appear to be more hospitable
and open to the idea of resettlement than any other
group. Conversely, the vast majority of Christians
displayed a high propensity for rejecting resettlement
more than other Lebanese groups.
The future of the Palestinian community
in Lebanon seems to be lying somewhere between "integration" and "conflict." Most
of the Lebanese groups do not object granting them
basic social and economic rights such as the right
to employment, public education, health but many
also fear the political and demographic repercussion
of resettling them permanently on the sensitive sectarian
balance. While their fate hangs to an unresolved
process of negotiations, the Palestinian resettlement
issue in Lebanon continues to fuel the debate.
References
1 ) Robert I. Friedman.
Zealots for Zion . New York: Random House, Inc.,
1992, p. 197.
2 ) Peter Sluglett
and Marion Farouk Sluglett. The Times Guide to the
Middle East . London: Times Books, 1991, p. 210.
3 ) Nur Masallah. The
Palestinian Refugee Problem. Israeli Plans to Resettle
the Palestinian Refugees 1948-1972 . Ramallah: Palestinian
Diaspora and Refugee Center [shaml], 1996.
4 ) Martin Gilbert.
The Arab-Israeli Conflict . London: Weidenfeld and
Nicolson, 1992, p. 54.
5 ) Ibid , p. 54.
6 ) Masallah. Op. Cit.
7 ) Sluglett and Sluglett.
Op. Cit. , p. 222.
8 ) According to the
Mideast Mirror , October 13, 1999, and to Al-Nahar
, 9 November 1999, American officials have raised
a number of proposals involving the transfer of Palestinian
refugees in Lebanon to other countries. The region
(Iraq, Gulf States and Jordan). If none of these
plans work out, American officials will seek reluctantly
to arrange the naturalization of most refugees in
Lebanon.
9 ) Palestinians in
Lebanon . Conference Report. Report on the Conference
held at Oxford from 27 th to 30 th September 1996.
Center for Lebanese Studies.
10 ) Naser H. Aruri
and Samih Farsoun. "Palestinian Communities and Arab
Host Countries." The Sociology of Palestinians .
Ed. Khalil Nakhlé and Elia Zureik. London:
Groom Helm Ltd, 1980, pp. 131-132.
11 ) Steven Edminister. "Trapped
on All Sides." The Marginalization of Palestinian
Refugees in Lebanon . Washington DC: US Committee
for Refugees Publication, 1999.
12 ) Charles Winslow.
Lebanon: War and Politics in Fragmented Society .
London and New York: Routledge, 1996;
Robert Fisk. Pity the Nation . London:
Andre Deutsche, Ltd., for the war period 1975-1989.
13 ) Edgar O'Balance.
Civil War in Lebanon, 1975-1992 . Great Britain,
London: McMillan Press Ltd., 1998, p. 212.
14 ) Daily Star .
November 28, 1998.
15 ) Herald Tribune
. December 13, 1999.
16 ) Al-Nahar . September
28, 1998.
17 ) Al-Nahar . November
27, 1994.
18 ) Daily Star .
July 8, 1998.
19 ) Al-Nahar . August
16, 1999.
20 ) Al-Nahar . September
24, 1999.
21 ) Michel Edde.
Speech held by former minister on at the Université Saint
Joseph. November 26, 1999.
22 ) Al-Hayat . March
13, 2000.
23 ) Al-Nahar . February
12, 1997.
24 ) Al-Nahar . July
29, 1999.
25 ) Naamatallah Abi-Nasr.
Conference on the "Palestinians in Lebanon: Between
Naturalization and Resettlement," University of Kaslik,
December 1999.
26 ) The religious
groups were represented according to the following
order: 29% Maronites, 9% Greek-Orthodox, 10% Greek-Catholics,
27% Shiis, 18% Sunnis and 7% Druze.
27 ) The age distribution
of the respondents included 40% in the category of
18-25 years, 32% in the category of 26-35 years,
18% in the category 36-45 years and 11% in the category
46 years and older. The socio-economic status of
the respondents was also mixed since it included
6% upper class, 62% middle class and 32% working
class respondents.
28 ) Educationally
9% of the respondents completed elementary education,
33% said they had completed secondary education and
58% received college education.
29 ) Morton Weinfeld.
Draft Paper by the Trans-Atlantic Learning Community:
Migration Group. Miami April 1, 1998; The Social
Integration of Immigrants and the Response of Institutions
. Canada: Department of Sociology, McGill University.
30 ) Julie Peteet.
Identity Crisis: Palestinians in Post-War Lebanon
. Worldwide Refugee Information, U.S. Committee for
Refugees, 1999.
31 ) Rosemary Sayigh. "Dis/Solving
the Refugee Problem." Middle-East Report . Summer
1998.
32 ) Khalil Nakhlé.
Palestinian Intellectuals and Revolutionary Transformation
in the sociology of the Palestinians . Ed. Khalil
Nakhlé and Elia Zureik. p. 195.
33 ) Daily Star .
November 7, 1998.
34 ) Al-Nahar . July
28, 1999.
35 ) Hilal Khashan.
Palestinian Resettlement in Lebanon: Behind the Debate
. Montreal Studies on the Contemporary Arab World.
April 1, 1996.
36 ) Al-Hayat . September
30, 1999.
37 ) On the 9th of
November 1999, a local newspaper, Al-Nahar , spoke
of US plans to pressure Lebanon to accept a portion
of its Palestinian community as permanent citizens.
Later, the Herald Tribune (December 13, 1999) highlighted
once more Lebanon's concerns towards its Lebanese
population. In addition, numerous articles reported
US and Canadian plans and involvement in preparing
for "implantation" have been reported in Lebanese
media particularly in Al-Diyar (March 8, 2000).
38 ) Al-Anwar , November
27, 1999.
39 ) Mideast Mirror
. September 1, 1999.
40 ) Hilal Khashan
and Simon Haddad. The Coupling of the Syrian-Lebanese
Tracks: Beirut's Options . Forthcoming Article appearing
in "Security Dialogue" (June 2000)
41 ) MTV Television
. Beirut, November 13, 1999.
42 ) Conference in
the University of Saint Esprit. Kaslik-Lebanon. Lebanese
Identity Between Naturalization and Implantation.
November 26, 1999.
43 ) Interview with
Mahmoud Soueid, Director of the Institution for Palestinian
Studies in Beirut, on the 25 th of November 1999,
MTV Television. Soueid stressed that granting Palestinians
civil rights doesn't mean giving up their right to
return because in Israel, Palestinians were given
this right and they did not lose their identity.
This proposition was during the "Conference on the
Palestinians in Lebanon" at Oxford (1996). Those
who supported granting "civil rights to Palestinians" maintained
that if Palestinians were allowed to work in the
formal sector they would contribute taxes to the
state and thereby benefit the Lebanese economy.
44 ) Raghid Al-Solh.
Interview in the Mideast Mirror . September 1, 1999.
45 ) Sarkis Naum. "Settlement
of Palestinians in Lebanon: National, Sectarian and
Confessional Consideration." Al-Wasat . 29 August
1994 |